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February 06, 2007

Guns & Politics, 2008

I'm still recovering from the flu so posting is still light. Sorry about that. I did come across two articles I found interesting -- since I agree with much in them -- by a writer I rarely agree with at all, Sasha Abramsky. In the Guardian (UK) he writes about guns and politics, 2008:


In the west, going Democratic in 2008 will require some fancy footwork on hot-button issues that coastal progressives have long-held positions on. In particular, national Democratic candidates need to neutralize opposition from the gun lobby in the region. This is a landscape of hunters. It is a place where people sometimes live in hamlets and on farms 100 miles or more from the nearest police station and believe strongly in carrying weapons for self protectio.

Then he gives the usual liberal credentials about how much he hates guns but--:

...Make gun-control a central part of your platform, and, while the pay-offs are small (a tiny reduction in the total numbers of guns available), the costs are huge - large parts of America are likely to continue voting for Republican presidential candidates who can implement a wider retrograde agenda once in office.

And that's why Richardson's candidacy just might gain some momentum. He has, over the years, gained the trust of the western gun-lobby, and that's allowed him to win high office and introduce an array of other progressive policies in his state...


I'd written about Richardson a couple weeks ago. Frankly, I tend to be a one-issue voter: Gun rights. How a candidate and his voting record score on that issue probably counts for 50% of my considering voting for him/her, with all other issues filling in the remaining 50% of the equation. There are a lot of voters out there like me. On gun rights, or on abortion, or on a host of other issues.

In the last couple decades, I have voted for republican presidential candidates almost solely based on the fact that their democratic opponents supported gun control. I suspect that trend will continue unless the Democrats wake up. Hillary and Obama and Gore and Edwards will never get my vote. Richardson might.

Incidentally, via the above Guardian commentary, I found a link to another Abramsky article about guns and politics in the west, this in the Nation:


...A Western regional primary, says Richardson, "would mean the presidential candidate would have to be attuned to Western issues--and the gun issue would be important. It would force candidates to confront the gun issue more realistically, instead of just a blanket opposition. The core issues are access to healthcare, jobs and job protection, education. These are Democratic core issues. The gun issue? It should not be a litmus test. Because there are more and more Democrats who support the Second Amendment."

"Richardson's a very politically astute individual," says Robert Goode, NRA regional representative for West Texas and New Mexico. "He knows you're beating your head against a wall when you go after the firearms issue. And he backs his words with his votes." Goode continues that, if a candidate like Richardson ran for the presidency, he believes the NRA would step back and not take a partisan stance on the election. Goode's colleague Charles Weisleder, a 70-year-old NRA lobbyist, agrees. "Richardson," says Weisleder, a bald man smiling broadly over coffee at an Albuquerque Shoney's, "got a lot of gun votes because of what he said to us. A lot of people are driven by the firearms issue."


Read the whole thing, written in 2005, because it was rather prescient about many pro-gun rights Democrats winning in 2006 and I believe one could take the big enchilada in 2008.

I'm certainly not married to the Republican Party since I find many of their current stands repellent to me and at the moment, I have no intention of voting for any of their current crop of front-runners -- Giuliani, McCain, Romney -- either, because of their gun control stances.

There's lots I don't like about the Democrats, too, but I wouldn't say it is greater than that of Republicans. So...

My vote, and I suspect a lot of yours, you all who are reading this, are up for grabs. The candidate (of either party) who has a proven record of supporting gun rights and the 2nd Amendment and opposing gun control measures will automatically be half-way towards getting my endorsement and vote.

Obviously, if they support gun rights but also think gays should be herded into concentration camps, well, I'll consider that factor as well (that other 50% of my voting equation).

Posted by Jeff Soyer at February 6, 2007 08:37 AM
Comments

Yep - you about summed it up for me. I'm one of those rare pro gun NYC folks. Give me a pro gun democrat, and remove the democratic party anti-gun plank (which they have had for years) and I could cheerfully vote for a Democrat

Posted by: kg2v at February 6, 2007 09:26 AM

Richardson is Pro-gun fiscal conservative with executive experience.

His immigration stand will hurt him with some but I'm convinced the best way to solve that problem is to make crossing the border easier to do the right way than it is to do the wrong way so that we can focus our enforcement energy on those who try to subvert a more reasonable system; so I'm in agreement with Richardson on that one too.

Barring any major development on the Republican side; I'm switching over to the Democrat side for the primary so I can support Richardson. He's by far the best choice so far out of all the contenders, Democrat or Republican.

Posted by: jimmy at February 6, 2007 09:54 AM

Richardson also has solid international diplomacy and energy credentials. He is the guy I am flogging. Regardless of his stance on the issues, remember that nominating him keeps Hillary out of the White House.

Posted by: Letalis at February 6, 2007 10:47 AM

How about Ron Paul? I know he is not a front runner in the straw polls I am seeing lately nor does he have the name recognition of other GOP candidates. However, he is probably the most exciting candidate in this race for my money. I think he's just about the best candidate I could hope for in any race.

Posted by: Fun Bob at February 6, 2007 11:00 AM

I'd be a Ron Paul supporter, but has he expressed any interest at all in running? If so, I haven't heard it.

BTW, I, too, am not beholden to any particular political party. Where a candidate stands on the 2A and its interpretation is the biggest factor in determining if he'll get my vote.
DAL357

Posted by: DAL357 at February 6, 2007 11:06 AM

Jeff, true that gun rights can be the end all in determining who to vote for, but it generally indicates the politicians view on individual rights, and respect for the constitution. If the person is consistent, then they get my vote. Be careful though about any dem for pres., as the dem controlled congress is anti gun and likely would push through anti gun measures, even around a dem president. Donuts to dollars, a "sensible" gun control measure would not get vetoes by Richardson (then again, McCain or Guiliani wouldn't vetoe it either). The pols attiude towards gun rights is a good indicator, but not the sole critetion for determinin one's political philosophy.

Posted by: ron at February 6, 2007 12:14 PM

As I say, 50%...

Posted by: Jeff Soyer at February 6, 2007 12:18 PM

That's always been my primary litmus test, too. Where does the candidate stand on our 2nd Amendment rights? Then follows national defense, taxes, and property rights.

I can count on one finger how many Democrats I've voted for since my first vote in 1968 (for Nixon, of course). But, if the GOP offers up the likes of Rudy, McCain, or some other RINO in '08, then I might consider a Democrat like Richardson to support or more than likely I'll just stay home.

Posted by: A.G.T. at February 6, 2007 01:10 PM

Ron Paul is running (has an exploratory commitee, at least), the major media just hasn't gotten around to covering it yet, I think they've been too busy fellating Obama to notice.

http://www.ronpaulexplore.com/

Posted by: gudis at February 6, 2007 03:25 PM

Amazing that anybody's vote would rest on gun control as the dispositive issue. I am all for gun rights as well, but it seems there are far more relevant issues (like protection of unborn, expanding government, homeland security) that trump an issue (gun control) that is so unlikely to ever materialize that it is a waste of time to even worry about.

Posted by: jason at February 6, 2007 03:31 PM

Guiliani on guns--no supporter here

HANNITY: Let me move on. And the issue of guns has come up a lot. When people talk about Mayor Giuliani, New York City had some of the toughest gun laws in the entire country. Do you support the right of people to carry handguns?

GIULIANI: I understand the Second Amendment. I support it. People have the right to bear arms. When I was mayor of New York, I took over at a very, very difficult time. We were averaging about 2,000 murders a year, 10,000...

HANNITY: You inherited those laws, the gun laws in New York?

GIULIANI: Yes, and I used them. I used them to help bring down homicide. We reduced homicide, I think, by 65-70 percent. And some of it was by taking guns out of the streets of New York City.

So if you're talking about a city like New York, a densely populated area like New York, I think it's appropriate. You might have different laws other places, and maybe a lot of this gets resolved based on different states, different communities making decisions. After all, we do have a federal system of government in which you have the ability to accomplish that.

HANNITY: So you would support the state's rights to choose on specific gun laws?

GIULIANI: Yes, I mean, a place like New York that is densely populated, or maybe a place that is experiencing a serious crime problem, like a few cities are now, kind of coming back, thank goodness not New York, but some other cities, maybe you have one solution there and in another place, more rural, more suburban, other issues, you have a different set of rules.

HANNITY: But generally speaking, do you think it's acceptable if citizens have the right to carry a handgun?

GIULIANI: It's not only -- I mean, it's part of the Constitution. People have the right to bear arms. Then the restrictions of it have to be reasonable and sensible. You can't just remove that right. You've got to regulate, consistent with the Second Amendment.

HANNITY: How do you feel about the Brady bill and assault ban?

GIULIANI: I was in favor of that as part of the crime bill. I was in favor of it because I thought that it was necessary both to get the crime bill passed and also necessary with the 2,000 murders or so that we were looking at, 1,800, 1,900, to 2,000 murders, that I could use that in a tactical way to reduce crime. And I did.

Posted by: ron at February 6, 2007 03:34 PM

Jason, you miss the point. The gun issue and how the candidate addresses it is very telling of how they view you as a citizen, and how they see government's role in society. As Jeff said, it cannot be the sole issue, as a gun nut that ignores the est of the BOR is obviously off his rocker. However, the 2A is a foundational right, written into the constitution, that cannot be, to steal a phrase, infringed. Along with free speech it is the most important set of rights we have.

Posted by: ron at February 6, 2007 03:37 PM

I certainly think we can dispense with the idea of Rudy winning the '08 nomination for the GOP; McCain has enough RKBA pecadilloes, and Rudy's aforementioned efforts to run from his past (and let's be frank...his true convictions) seem unconvincing to most.

Richardson would have legs with independents like Jeff, but I worry about his odds of outrunning Edwards, Hillary, and Obama. Too early to tell I suppose. I do think he'll be in a strong position for VP candidacy.

As for the 2A as a dispositive issue, I'm about 80% of the way there myself. I'm a dyed in the wool progressive on gay rights, the environment, a woman's right to choose (and would have a lot more respect for the "protection of the unborn" crowd if they actually seemed to give a damn about the "already born"), etc. but I found myself voting for a LOT of Republicans at the state level in Maryland this year.

Democrats just need to wake up on this issue. They're getting there...but we're not finished guarding the 2A from Chuck Schumer and Ted K. yet.

Posted by: progunprogressive.com at February 6, 2007 04:26 PM

In a post 9/11 and pre Islamic terror attacks on US soil world, 2A rights will become under increasing pressure from the far left leaders of the Democrat House. We must be vilgilant and eager for the fight on these issues. It not an accident that the largest block of support for a UN ban on small arms are Muslim nations.

As for president, eeech....., no one get me excited. Tom Coburn from Oklahoma or Tancrido, Kyl from Arizona are pretty good fellows. I'm waiting for Rudy make a detailed list of what he supports and what he doesn't on gun rights. I can only hope he understands that 2A rights are the defining issue for over 8 million consevative voters.

Posted by: ursa5000 at February 6, 2007 05:00 PM

Ron, you make a good point. I think it dovetails nicely with the initial article. In that vein, I doubt any politician that supports a citizen's right to keep and bear arms would think about trying to herd anyone into any kind of camp.

"You've got to regulate, consistent with the Second Amendment." That's where we disagree. I think 'well-regulated militia' means 'bunch of disciplined citizens having effective military capability.' Thus being an effective deterrent by scaring the crap out of tyrants and criminals. Rudy thinks it has to do with gun control laws.

That status quo ain't bad. It isn't what I'd LIKE, but it ain't bad.

Posted by: Nobody at February 6, 2007 05:20 PM

Heres something I dont get. People bring up Ron Paul as being good on gun rights. But Ron Paul is a federalist that thinks the 2nd Amend only applies to the federal govt but not to the states. That would mean states would be free to regulate or even ban guns if they wanted to. Im pretty sure that is his position, and imo that is not being... good on gun rights.

This is something I believe gun rights advocates have to come to grips with. If you support conservatives that are for federalsim, "states rights", etc... then you are not for the 2nd Amend protecting the gun rights of all the citizens of the US. I always say I believe in a "liberal" interpetation of the BORs, and that goes for all the Amendments, including the 2nd.

I like Richardson too, now that Mark Warner pulled out. I dont see how he gets the nomination though, the Dem primaries are just too slanted to the left. Maybe VP though.

Posted by: Jonesy at February 6, 2007 05:33 PM

Having a well regulated militia is just the reason that the PEOPLE have the right to bear arms. If you don't have militias in the historical sense, the right does not dissappear. I am sure there are others here who can school you on the "well regulated" militia language better than I. BTW, I don't buy into all the various tests set up by the courts to regulate "rights". I thought that was all a bunch of HS (or BS to you cow lovers) in law school, just like the whole living breathing constitution tripe. My Const. Law professor had no answer for this question: "Why would the founding fathers create an amendment process if the constitution were in fact a living breathing document that could be altered by 5 votes of the SCOTUS" Sounds very undemocratic to me. And don't get me started on penumbras...

Posted by: ron at February 6, 2007 05:37 PM

Last time I checked the 14th Amendment made the BOR applicable to the states. I too am for decentralizing the federal powers, but a state cannot strip federally guaranteed rights, whether it is speech or guns.

Posted by: ron at February 6, 2007 05:42 PM

A long time ago I swore before God and man to "preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic" and I do not recall ever withdrawing that oath. The idea of supporting any politico who can't stand up and honestly say he (or she) will support it ALL, every single word, as ammended - well,hell. I'm sorry, but no. No way. Never in this old man's life.

Posted by: Texas Jack at February 6, 2007 07:31 PM

I have no intention of voting for any of their current crop of front-runners -- Giuliani, McCain, Romney.

I understand this position. However, I got to thinking of the possibility of a Hillary VS Giuliani situation and it seems to me that it would be advantageous to throw a vote at Giuliani simply because the prospect of a Hillary presidency is so horrific.

The one thing that makes me lean this way is because Giuliani, in the same Hannity interview stated that he would nominate Strict Constructionists to the Supreme Court. At least I believe he did. Yes, he could be spewing a heap of bullshit, but Hillary. That's just scary.

Posted by: The Raging Patriot at February 7, 2007 05:53 AM

What I'd like to know is why the National Review's long editorial about conservative objections to Giuliani failed to mention the gun issue at all.

(Maybe the Second Amendment really has become lunatic fringe stuff....)

Posted by: Eric Scheie at February 9, 2007 03:09 PM

So, I guess you one-issue voters will be pleased when you are neutered and locked down in a paternalistic social_ist state, just as long as they permit you 1 hr. daily range time in the yard, huh?

The only single-issue issue is Freedom, and you will not find any Democratic candidate who espouses that platform capable of winning the nomination.

And as mentioned above, the influence of judicial appointments (for those willing to exercise this prerogative in accord with their professed convictions--conspicuously not the Republicans of late years) can last for generations.

Don't expect to get my vote just because you will let me keep the gun in my hand, if you are going to insist on handcuffing, hog tying, and gagging me before you push me down a dark hole.

Posted by: Sam Hill at February 10, 2007 03:31 AM
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