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February 23, 2005

Don't Relax Yet!

Interesting article from the Kansas City Star:


The national debate over gun rights, for decades among the most searing and divisive of political issues, appears to be all but over in Congress.

That means that the assault weapons ban, a signature achievement of gun control advocates that expired last year, probably will not resurface anytime soon.

Conversely, congressional leaders and the Bush administration haven't put a priority on efforts to expand gun rights.

“There's a perception that Washington is not the place to take the debate at this moment,” said Saul Cornell, a historian who is director of the Second Amendment Research Center at Ohio State University. He said that politicians on both sides see little advantage in pressing the issue.

Democrats, desperate to regain their appeal to middle America, are moving away from the party's long identification with gun control, much to the relief of many beleaguered Democrats in states like Missouri.

“It's a loser,” Rep. Ike Skelton, a Missouri Democrat, said of gun control.


Yes it is. And I believe it hurt Democratic candidates in the past few elections. But -- unfortunately -- there is a limit to how far "swing voters" will support new bills that PROTECT gun rights:

“There is a potential for backlash,” George Connor, a political scientist at Southwest Missouri State University, said of the Republican two-step. “They can't go too far.”

Connor pointed out that Republicans basically have already “gotten everything they wanted. They wanted to protect the rights of gun owners and average citizens, which they've done. … I don't think they're going to push any farther than they already have.”

While Bush and many Republicans voice support for a bill that would give gun makers immunity from civil lawsuits, the bill is not a priority of Republican congressional leaders.


So have we reached a sort of balance? I don't really think so. I think the issue is splitting red and blue states in much the fashion that the just past election polarized voters in general. We see the usual suspect states such as California attempting to pass more and more control, whether it's a ban on .50 caliber guns and trying to pass ballistic fingerprinting or the New York City council trying to pass regulations that would penalize gun stores located anywhere in the nation.

Conversely, we see other states passing "shall issue" concealed carry laws, laws protecting ranges, and in some states, allowing a homeowner greater leeway in defending themselves from burglars and other invaders.

One problem for those of us on the pro-gun side of the aisle is that the anti-gun states tend to be populous, with the result that they have a lot of congressional districts in The House. A future election where the Republicans lose power and the Democrats take over could easily tip the scales back towards much more gun control measures flooding Congress.

This is one reason why I wish Republicans would moderate themselves on other issues that polls have shown the public really isn't all that interested in, such as a constitutional amendment against gay marriage or even Social Security reform. Pushing those hot-button issues too much could alienate a lot of voters in the future and we could wind up with a Democrat back in the White House.

I suppose it shows that I'm nearly a one-issue voter since I don't want moderation on gun rights, just on any other legislation that could endanger gun rights by reinvigorating the liberal base of the Democratic Party. Maybe I'm not expressing myself clearly. I fear that any position that pro-gun Republicans take on other issues that could cause them to lose power is a threat to the successes we've had WITH gun rights.

Does that make me a bad person?

Posted by Jeff Soyer at February 23, 2005 07:46 AM
Comments

No, your fear of losing pro-2A legislators while "compromising" on other issues doesn't make you a bad person. I do, however, think it indicates a certain "fatigue" we all have as a reslut of constantly defending our rights. I include myself in this analysis; there comes a time when you have been pushing the boulder up the hill and you begin to take a look at your current position. Perhaps you realize that, while not all of you goals have been achieved, you have still made progress. I would put the lapse of the AWB in this category.

The sad reality, from my perspective, is that while Democrats and other anti-2A forces appear to be retreating right now, we must never forget the true score and it favors their side, not ours. When you consider what has transpired since the 1968 GCA, the anti-2A people really must be satisfied with themselves. They have taken what was a non-issue since our founding and, in a truly Orwellian fashion, convinced Americans that they really don't have rights that are enumerated in our Constitution. It's all rather Alice in Wonderland-ish.

Your point about a change in Congressional power is accurate; we're always one election away from an extremely hostile environment.

I think the "backlash" issue for our side pushing back (repealling laws) is fairly overstated. Our side needs to educate people and put the 2A in the greater context of our rights, just like 1A, 4A, etc. Their side argues wit emotion and we must argue with facts and logic. Unfortunately, emotion is easier; facts are hard and cold. Imagine putting similar restrictions on the press...???

I also believe that the Canadians, Brits, and Aussies can be used (accurately) as the "see, I told you so" example of the utter failure of gun control. This may seem inflammatory, but I think the biggest sleeper issue FOR gun ownership is one that is just below the surface of every American's mind; illegal immigration. While the illegals may not be dashing across the border into NYC, the potential for crime, not to mention the Al Qaeda/terrorism reality, undercut anti-2A forces and bolster ours. The border control/terrorism issue only underscores the point our side has been making for generations; you are your first line of defense. Uncle Sam loves on April 15, the rest of the year you're on your own.

In closing, (boy, this went longer than intended) I don't like ceding ground on core American principles, especially when it comes to the Bill of Rights. I do agree that the states (Red) can, and should, act to counter other states (Blue) legislation, and, to the degree it is constitutional, the Federal government (10A). The beauty of Federalism is that it allows the states to be laboratories of freedom, just as the Founers intended.

Keep up the good work, I enjoy your blog.

Posted by: Chris W at February 23, 2005 09:13 AM
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