Polls and 2012 Election
Jeff Soyer on 01 Sep 2012 03:05 pm
Many presidential preference polls purposely over-sample declared Democrats because the pollsters
want to lie to us try to duplicate exit polls from 2008. Thus, in actual poll results, the majority of respondents might prefer Romney over Obama but because the pollsters polled more Democrats than Republicans, the outcome still favors the incumbent. With that in mind, consider this report about a new Rasmussen poll:
According to new research released today by Rasmussen, more voters identify themselves as Republican than ever in the last 8 years. More importantly, by a 4 point margin, more voters identify as GOP than Democrat. This is the largest spread between the parties ever. Worse for Democrats, the number of voters who identify with their party is also approaching an historic low.
So. If your typical presidential preference poll over-samples Democrats, and more people are identifying themselves (we presume to the pollsters) then we can presume that the disparity between candidate choice is greater than results might show. That is: If (as currently reported today, that) Romney has pulled slightly ahead of Obama in current polls, it could very well be that he is truly much ahead of Obama.
Read the whole article for more details but — and THIS is the “hope and change” that I am pining for . . . — Romney could be headed for a decisive win in a couple of months.
Then, regardless of all the New Black Panther “poll watchers,” and the Democrat lawyers, and the dead or illegal voters that the Democrats deploy to the voting booths, the mandate will be clear. Maybe not to the liberal Obama amen chorus “reporting” for NBC, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, NPR, PBS, NY Times, WaPo, LA Times, etc., but to all of us regular, honest people.